League Table
ELO history
Click a team to see its profile · hover the line for ELO · markers = trophiesTrust
How the model is built, where it is reliable, and where to be cautiousNews
UEFA coefficients & European spots
Why the number of Champions League places changes from season to seasonGame-by-game predictions
Model win / draw / loss probability per match, with fair American odds
Bar = model win / draw / loss probability · draw = gray
Score = projected (expected goals)
✓ model's pick was correct